Housing starts to fall but MLS® sales to rise in 2010 in the Sherbrooke CMA

With a gradually strengthening job market and still favourable financing conditions, the housing market situation in the Sherbrooke census
metropolitan area (CMA) will be somewhat different this year1. After having stagnated in 2009, existing home sales registered through the Multiple Listing Service (MLS)® will rise by 4 per cent next year. Housing starts, for their part, will fall by 14 per cent in 2010. This decline will result from the level of housing activity in 2009, and not from the deterioration of economic conditions.

Employment to increase slightly in 2010 In 2009, the Sherbrooke area was spared by the slowdown in economic activity that affected all industrialized countries. During the first six months of the year, the average number of jobs2 in the area declined by 2 per cent, with losses registered in both part-time and full-time employment. However, the situation improved somewhat from July to September, as the number of jobs rose by 1.5 per cent. While this rise was entirely attributable to the gains recorded in part-time employment, full-time job losses are moderating more and more, suggesting that increases could occur shortly. Thanks to this renewed economic activity, the Sherbrooke CMA will end the year with 83,000 jobs, or the same level as in 2008.

Canada: Existing home sales back to pre-recession level

According to data released today by the Canadian Real Estate Association, the number of homes sold in Canada in May, on a seasonally adjusted basis, was up for a fourth consecutive month. Moreover, it was 1.3% higher than in last September, that is, the pre-recession level. Today’s Hot Chart (left panel) shows that the turnaround in sales has been accompanied by a drop in new listings. As a result, the ratio of new listings to sales was the lowest in seventeen
months and well within the range where the market is considered balanced. This development reduces the risk of persisting home price deflation and of a corresponding deterioration in household balance sheet. On a regional basis, we note that sales in BC and Quebec more than recovered the ground lost since September. Even Ontario has
shown a significant pick-up in activity in recent months (see right panel).

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NBF Financial Group…

http://www.news-to-use.com/2009/06/canada-existing-home-sales-back-to-pre.html

This report brought by Moishe Alexander, CFC CEO

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